Lazio will make a short trip to the Stadio Olimpico next Sunday to face Roma in the highly anticipated Derby della Capitale on Matchday 19 of Serie A. Both sides played out draws in their previous league matches and will be eager to bounce back with a victory in this heated rivalry.
After a turbulent start to the season, which saw Roma change managers twice, Claudio Ranieri has rejuvenated the team. They’ve climbed to 10th position, 15 points behind 4th-placed Lazio. Can Roma continue their resurgence against Lazio, chasing a top-four finish? Follow up as we give our best game analysis with relevant betting tips.
Roma – Lazio Head-to-Head Analysis
| General Details | Roma Lineup (Predicted) | Lazio Lineup (Predicted) |
|---|---|---|
| Date: 05/1/2025 Time: 20:45 Stadium: Stadio Olimpico Where to watch: Supersport 204, StarTimes App, DStv Now, GOtv | Mile Svilar Mehmet Zeki Çelik Gianluca Mancini Evan N’Dicka Angeliño Niccolò Pisilli Kouadio Koné Bryan Cristante Stephan El Shaarawy Lorenzo Pellegrini Artem Dovbyk | Christos Mandas Adam Marušić Samuel Gigot Patric Gabarrón Luca Pellegrini Nicolò Rovella Mattéo Guendouzi Loum Tchaouna Pedro Rodríguez Benjamin Noslin Valentín Castellanos |
Historic Performances
To truly understand this matchup, we need to delve into their history. Let’s analyze their previous encounters to gain valuable insights into the potential outcome of their upcoming clash.
Recent Encounters
The recent head-to-head record between AS Roma and Lazio highlights the closely fought nature of this fierce rivalry. Over their last five encounters across all competitions, Lazio holds a narrow advantage with three wins, while Roma has managed just one victory, and one match ended in a stalemate.
In their most recent meeting, Roma secured a 1-0 home triumph, bolstering their confidence ahead of this clash.
Key Factors Influencing the Match
Let’s examine both teams’ performance and identify their best players. This will help us guess what might happen in this match.
Previous Match
Roma have experienced a turbulent year, marked by the departures of José Mourinho and Daniele De Rossi, followed by Ivan Juric’s unsuccessful tenure. Claudio Ranieri’s return, however, has brought stability. Though initially struggling domestically, Roma ended the year 10th in Serie A.
Under Ranieri, the Giallorossi appeared more organized, evidenced by a recent 5-0 victory over Parma and a hard-fought draw at AC Milan. They’ve also secured three wins and one draw in their last five matches, showcasing resilience.
Meanwhile, Lazio sit 4th in the Serie A standings with 34 points, boasting 11 wins, one draw, and five losses. Their pre-Christmas victory over Lecce and a spirited draw against leaders Atalanta highlight their brilliant form.
Their stalemates last weekend ended Atalanta’s 11-game winning streak. This kept Lazio within the top four as the season reached the midpoint. For the first time in their history, Lazio has secured 17 victories in their opening 24 matches across all competitions. They currently lead UEFA’s second-tier tournament.
Players
Paulo Dybala will enter the derby brimming with confidence after a stellar display against Parma. His two goals inspired Roma to a dominant 5-0 victory at the Stadio Olimpico. With four Serie A goals this year, the Argentine thrives in high-stakes matches and remains a key figure for Roma.
Bryan Cristante’s ankle injury leaves him the only sidelined player for the visitor. Therefore, Claudio Ranieri will likely retain his winning lineup, which features Alexis Saelemaekers on the right and Stephan El Shaarawy supporting Dybala in the attack.
For Lazio, Valentín Castellanos has been their standout performer, with nine goals and five assists in 22 appearances. The striker’s relentless work ethic and knack for scoring make him a crucial asset.
However, Lazio faces injury concerns, with Matias Vecino, Pedro, and Tijjani Noslin unavailable, and Alessio Romagnoli’s knee issue remaining uncertain. Should Romagnoli recover, Lazio is expected to field a nearly unchanged lineup, with Gustav Isaksen and Boulaye Dia leading their potent attack.
Home Advantage
The Giallorossi have showcased solid form at the Stadio Olimpico, securing five wins despite four defeats this season. On the other hand, Lazio has been equally commendable on the road, recording five wins and four draws.
Notably, they’ve suffered just one defeat in their last five outings, a testament to their consistency. This strong away form could give Lazio a crucial advantage in this derby as they aim to capitalize on Roma’s inconsistent performances.
Betting Tips
After a brief check of their season so far, these are our best betting tips for Nigerian Bettors to wager on the Roma vs. Lazio match:
Betting Odds
Now let’s check their betting odds for each of the team’s chances to win, draw, or lose:
Roma to Win – 2.40 | Draw – 3.20 | Lazio to Win – 3.00
Bookies’ odds rated the home side as the favorite to win while slightly seeing the visitors as the underdogs. The chance for a stalemate is slim at 31% probability. However, Lazio’s positive history in this fixture, top-four ambition, and decent run on the road might boost their chances to win or draw the match.
Final Thoughts on the Match
The Derby della Capitale between AS Roma and Lazio promises an electrifying clash with the potential to shape the trajectory of both teams’ seasons. However, Lazio’s recent dominance in this fixture and brilliant momentum in away games make the visitors a slight favorite to win the game or draw.
Samuel Okunsolawo is an iGaming expert with over six years of experience in content writing. His passion for simplifying complex concepts makes his articles accessible and useful for beginners and experts alike. With a focus on sports betting trends and reliable betting sites, Samuel’s articles are an excellent resource for those seeking guidance and staying up to date in the world of iGaming.