Fiorentina vs Napoli

Reading Time 9 Mins Categories Betting Tips

Serie A returns this Saturday with a high-stakes clash as Fiorentina hosts title-chasing Napoli at the Artemio Franchi for matchday 19. Both teams have delivered impressive campaigns so far, setting the stage for an enticing battle between 5th-placed Fiorentina and 2nd-placed Napoli.  

Fiorentina come into this match after a dramatic 2-2 draw against Juventus. Napoli, meanwhile, secured a narrow 1-0 victory over struggling Venezia, with Giacomo Raspadori coming off the bench to score the decisive goal. That win lifted Napoli to second place, level on points with leaders Atalanta, as their title aspirations gathered momentum. Will Fiorentina halt Napoli’s charge? Here’s a detailed match preview and our top betting tips.

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Fiorentina – Napoli Head-to-Head Analysis

Fiorentina – Napoli
Fiorentina vs Napoli
General DetailsFiorentina Lineup (Predicted)Napoli Lineup (Predicted)
Date: 04/1/2025
Time: 18:00
Stadium: Stadio Artemio Franchi
Where to watch: Supersport 204, StarTimes App, DStv Now, GOtv
David De Gea
Robin Gosens
Luca Ranieri
Andrea Comuzzo
Dodô
Yacine Adli
Danilo Caraldi
Lucas Beltrán
Albert Gudmundsson
Moise Kean
Andrea Colpani
Alex Meret
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Amir Brahmani
Alessandro Buongiorno
Mathias Olivera
André-Frank Zambo Anguissa
Stanislav Lobotka
Scott McTominay
Matteo Politano
Romelu Lukaku
David Neres

Historic Performances

Let’s examine their past meetings to foreshadow the potential outcome of this upcoming clash.

Recent Encounters

The head-to-head record between these two teams has been tightly contested, with Napoli holding a slight advantage in their last five encounters. The Partenopei have secured two wins compared to Fiorentina’s one, while the remaining two matches ended in draws. Their most recent meeting was an engaging 2-2 draw, underscoring the likelihood of another goal-filled showdown.

Key Factors Influencing the Match

Let’s examine both teams’ performance and identify their best players. This will help us guess what might happen in this match.

Previous Match

Fiorentina has experienced a revival under Raffaele Palladino. They are currently sitting 5th in Serie A and advancing to the Conference League’s last 16. Despite a recent dip in form, with two losses in their last three league matches, their tally of 31 points from 16 games reflects a significant improvement. 

Their recent 2-2 draw at Juventus showcased their attacking quality and defensive resilience, and a victory on Saturday could push them into the top four.  

Under Antonio Conte, Napoli is firmly in the Scudetto race, sitting second with 41 points from 18 matches. Their record of 13 wins, two draws, and three losses highlights their strong first half of the season. Though their recent form includes three wins and two defeats, a 1-0 triumph over Venezia demonstrated their ability to grind out results. 

Napoli’s coach, Antonio Conte, recently achieved his 150th managerial victory in Serie A, reaching the milestone in 220 matches. This is well ahead of Helenio Herrera and Maurizio Sarri, who took 261 games each.

Players

Moise Kean has hit double digits in goals for only the second time in his career in Europe’s top five leagues. His 11 goals make him Serie A’s second-highest scorer this season. Known for his clinical finishing, pace, and physicality, Kean will be a key threat for Fiorentina as they prepare to face Napoli. 

Meanwhile, David de Gea has been a standout performer in goal, with an 80% save rate, second only to Mattia Perin. However, Fiorentina will miss Edoardo Bove, who remains sidelined with health issues.

For Napoli, Romelu Lukaku is the player to watch, boasting six goals and five assists across 17 appearances. Renowned for his powerful left-footed shots and versatility in front of goal, Lukaku’s pace and strength make him a constant threat. 

Napoli will also welcome back Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to the starting XI after recovering from a knee sprain. Despite Alessandro Buongiorno’s absence, Napoli’s midfield trio of Frank Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, and Scott McTominay will anchor their play as they aim for victory.

Home Advantage

Fiorentina have been formidable at the Artemio Franchi, securing five wins, two draws, and only one defeat. Their success at home stems from a solid defensive structure, having conceded just 13 goals. This is the third-best record in Serie A. 

Similarly, Napoli has excelled on the road under Conte, amassing six wins, two draws, and only one loss. Their away dominance is underpinned by an exceptional defense, allowing just 12 goals, which is the best in the league. These impressive stats set the stage for an intense weekend showdown, with no clear favorite to triumph.

Betting Tips

After a quick review of their season so far, these are our best betting tips for Nigerian Bettors to wager on the Fiorentina vs. Napoli match:

Napoli to Win

Total Goals Under 2.5

Both teams to score.

Over 3.5 bookings

Betting Odds

Here are the latest global betting odds for each team’s chances to win, draw, or lose:

Fiorentina to Win – 3.00 | Draw – 3.25 | Napoli to Win – 2:38

Bookies’ odds rated the home side as the underdog while slightly backing Napoli for an away victory. The chance for a stalemate is slim at 31% probability. However, Napoli’s positive history in this fixture and title aspirations might push them over the line to claim all points in the game.

Final Thoughts on the Match

Fiorentina have been impressive this season, especially at home, but Napoli’s title ambitions and strong away form position them as slight favorites in this matchup. The visitors’ defensive resilience and counter-attacking efficiency could be key, especially if they manage to absorb Fiorentina’s early pressure. 

Their experience in high-stakes scenarios and proven ability to secure results on the road makes them our pick for an away victory in what promises to be a closely contested and entertaining Serie A showdown.