Denmark vs Spain

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Denmark will look to secure a UEFA Nations League quarter-final spot when they host Spain on Friday, November 15. Currently second in Group A4, the Red and Whites trail Spain by three points.

Denmark must beat the European champions and hope Serbia doesn’t win to advance. If Serbia loses, Denmark can also qualify with a draw. Spain, meanwhile, has already clinched a top-two finish and a place in the quarter-finals.

Denmark vs Spain Match Details

Denmark vs Spain
denmark vs. spain

Denmark’s Current Campaign

Denmark has recorded two victories, one draw, and only one loss in this tournament. Their performance puts them second in Group A4, three points behind Spain. While their attack has shown consistency, defensive lapses have proven costly, especially in games they were expected to control.

Christian Eriksen remains the creative force in Denmark’s midfield. Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg will bring stability and defensive coverage, which are crucial assets as they prepare to face Spain’s skilled midfield.

Spain’s Current Campaign

Spain enters this match in top form. La Roja is unbeaten in the group with three wins and a draw. They currently lead the group, and a victory over Denmark guarantees they will finish as group leaders. 

Alvaro Morata is Spain’s main goal threat, supported by wingers Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, while Zubimendi anchors the midfield. Spain’s 4-3-3 formation emphasizes possession and defensive organization. Their setup enables them to control games with midfield-focused buildups.

Head-to-Head in the Current Campaign

When both teams met in October, Spain narrowly edged out with 1-0 victory at home. Zubimendi’s 79th-minute strike was enough to put Denmark to the sword.

Prediction for the Current Campaign

We predict a 1-1 draw for this match, as Denmark’s physical play may counter Spain’s possession-based style. While both sides have in-form players, Denmark’s solid defense could curb Spain’s attacking strengths. 

Denmark’s resilience at home has been remarkable over the past two years. They have not lost at home since their 1-0 loss to Croatia in June 2022 at the Nations League. During that period, they secured 12 victories and four draws. 

Though a win against Spain may be challenging, Denmark’s defensive organization and home advantage make a hard-fought 1-1 result likely.

Denmark vs Spain Head-to-Head Record

Spain has had no trouble against Denmark in recent matchups. They’ve won their last five meetings and remain unbeaten over their last eight encounters, with seven wins and one draw.

Team Form

Denmark

Denmark opened the tournament with successive home wins over Switzerland and Serbia. However, they fell to Spain last month after Martin Zubimendi’s late volley sealed the victory for Luis de la Fuente’s team. A few days later, they battled Switzerland to a 2-2 away draw. 

Currently second in Group 4 with six points, Denmark sits three points behind the leaders. Interim coach Morten Wieghorst is guiding the team after Kasper Hjulmand’s departure. Jannik Vestergaard will make his 50th cap with this match. Only Kasper Schmeichel, Kasper Dolberg, Christian Eriksen, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, and Yussuf Poulsen have more caps for their country.

Spain

Spain remained unbeaten in this year’s Nations League, boasting three wins and a draw. They’ve netted eight goals and conceded just once, ensuring they lead the group with a guaranteed quarter-final spot. The reigning Nations League champions haven’t lost since a 1-0 friendly defeat to Colombia in March 2024. 

Notably, they remained undefeated in competitive games since a 2-0 loss to Scotland in Euro 2024 qualifiers. Key players Unai Simon, Dani Carvajal, Robin Le Normand, and Rodri are sidelined with long-term injuries.

Key Players to Watch

Christian Eriksen will lead Denmark’s midfield, bringing creativity and scoring potential. As Denmark’s most-capped player and fourth-highest goal-scorer with 42 goals, Eriksen’s experience will be vital in managing play and seizing scoring opportunities. Supporting him is Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, who strengthens Denmark’s defensive transition.

Spain counters with Fabian Ruiz, a versatile talent instrumental in their Euro 2024 success. Ruiz, adept in buildup, progression, and final-third play, will pair with Martin Zubimendi in Rodri’s absence. This duo forms the midfield anchor behind the dynamic front line of Lamine Yamal, Alvaro Morata, and Nico Williams. The Eriksen-Zubimendi midfield clash and Morata’s movement against Denmark’s defense will be decisive.

Tactics and Style of Play

Denmark’s balanced 4-3-3 formation relies on Eriksen’s playmaking and Hojbjerg’s control in midfield, offering both defensive and attacking flexibility. However, their counterattack vulnerability could be an issue against Spain, who may exploit this if they dominate possession. Denmark hopes their physical style and teamwork can counter Spain’s finesse.

Similarly, Spain will likely use a 4-3-3, focused on maintaining possession and controlling the midfield. Their signature style involves quick, precise passing, constant movement, and a structured buildup, which enables La Roja to dismantle defensive setups efficiently. 

Spanish players excel in tight spaces, maintaining control under pressure with an emphasis on timing, positioning, and spatial awareness. Combining skill with tactical awareness makes Spain’s play both practical and compelling.

Prediction Factors

Spain’s winning streak gives them an edge, but Denmark’s defensive resilience at home could be critical. They are unbeaten since 2022 at their venue and could make a difference. Denmark’s supportive home crowd will bolster their efforts to resist Spain’s possession-based play. 

Both teams are expected to field strong lineups, though Spain misses key midfielders like Rodri and Gavi. With Spain’s control facing Denmark’s solid form, a low-scoring draw seems likely.

Betting Tips For Denmark vs Spain

Spain may be the favorite, but a draw offers good value. Denmark’s defensive strength and strong home record make a low-scoring draw highly likely.

Another betting market worth considering is Under 2.5 goals, which could provide solid returns. Seven of Denmark’s last eight matches across competitions have finished with under 2.5 goals, and two of Spain’s four tournament matches have had similar results. The first leg of this fixture also produced less than three goals, suggesting an under 2.5 outcome here.

Conclusion

This fixture is crucial for both teams’ qualification paths. Spain aims to strengthen its lead, and Denmark is eager to capitalize on its home advantage. Expect a tightly contested match, with a draw the most likely outcome.

Don’t miss this exciting encounter between Denmark and Spain. Follow live updates and join the conversation as these top two teams in group A4 battle for supremacy.